| Questions 8 to 108.   You are a screenplay writer trying to figure 
out what type of screenplay will have the best chance of being produced. As part 
of this decision, you have reviewed historical data related to all the screenplays 
you know and have put them in the table below. What type of screenplay will have 
highest probability of not being produced? 
 
|   | Screenplay not produced | Screenplay produced |   
| A.    Action | 20 times | 4 times |   
| B.    Love stories | 11 times | 2 times |   
| C.    Children stories | 15 times | 3 times |  9.   Your project is to buy new clothes for the fall 
season. You read a number of fashion magazines and see that most experts agree 
that a mixture of bright and pale tones will be in style during the fall. A few 
magazines also stress the revival of a historical theme. In addition, some articles 
emphasize a trend to pink and blue colors. Which description do you think will 
be the most probable? 
 
| A.   | Bright hues mixed with pale tones. |   
| B.   | Bright hues mixed with pale tones, combined with purity of pink and blue colors. |   
| C.   | Bright hues mixed with pale tones, combined with purity of pink and blue colors 
that bring a sense of energy and refinement to historical and classic themes. |  10.   You are a stunt double in a western movie. Despite 
all your skills, you fall from your horse in 16% of all the shots. The occurrence 
of these falls appears to be completely random; it does not seem to have any correlation 
to how hard you try, what horse you use, the weather conditions, the filming locale, 
or anything else. In this movie, you have already fallen from your horse 7 times 
out of 35 shots. Are you going to be lucky the next time around? How many 
times do you estimate you will fall from the horse in the remaining 25 shots? 
 
| A.   | 5 times |   
| B.   | 2 times |   
| C.   | 4 times |  
 
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